Notable Higher Ranked Player
Aaron Hill: My Rank- 15 ECR- 26
Aaron Hill is 32-years old, so last year truly could mark a cliff season and a sign of things to come. Second baseman don’t tend to age well, but I’m not ready to throw dirt on him yet. The BABIP gods were unkind to Hill last season as his 24.5% line drive rate (career high) netted him only a .276 BABIP. A little more favorable luck on balls in play this year and an uptick in HR/FB rate closer to his 2013 mark and you’ve got yourself a player nearly valuable enough to start at the keystone position in standard leagues.
Notable Lower Ranked Player
Dee Gordon: My Rank- 13 ECR- 5
The long awaited — possibly given up on — breakout for Dee Gordon took place last year. He hit .289, and more importantly, he stole 64 bases. It’s easy to see why others have him ranked so highly. I, however, am skeptical of his ability to get on base again this year. As the saying goes, you can’t steal first base. Gordon walked in a paltry 4.8% of his plate appearances and required a .346 BABIP to get to his average. Fast players are to be expected to post high BABIPs, but that’s a full 20 points higher than his career BABIP. Even more alarming than potential BABIP regression is that his already low walk rate cratered to 1.6% in the second half of the season. Get your speed elsewhere.