gtabaplayr1 wrote:Just because its a keeper league doesn't mean you still have to pick all young players. And theres no way i would pick Buehrle before Clemens because u are trying to win this year as well as in the future. You will be able to find a number of Buehrle type players on the waiver wire throughout the year.
Of course, it doesn't mean that you have to pick all young players, but it does mean that a player's value to you should be based not only on their value for this year, but on their value in future years, too.
Clemens is probably worth about $14 this year, while Buehrle about $8.50. Of course, there is a much higher likelihood that the difference is smaller than that rather than larger, because Buehrle is much more likely to improve and Clemens is much more likely to decline. But, even using those numbers, one year of Clemens is only worth less than two years of Buehrle. Choosing Buehrle does make it less likely you win this year. But, it makes you much more likely to win sometime in the next 5 years.
And I don't know what kind of league you play in, but the chance of grabbing a pitcher who is under age 27 and has posted 5 consecutive above average seasons and a career average 20 percent above average off of the waiver wires in leagues I've played in is somewhere on the order of .00000000000000000000000001