Surfs up wrote:Kotsay won't hit more then 15 homeruns this year. Hits for a decent average but doesn't look like he will have many runs to knock in .Oakland rebuilding again this year.
?? Let's see, they added Kendall, an incredible OBP machine, will have a major addition by subtraction at 2B, add Swisher who should easily outdistance what they got in the OF last year, and Crosby's a year older and better.
And they get the DH, where Milwaukee does not.
Last year the A's scored 160 runs MORE than the Brewers. Sure, the Brewers have narrowed the gap...by about 30 runs according to most projections. But, Kotsay's going to easily score 95+ runs with the current lineup behind him, and he's got a good chance to knock in 70 with the bottom of the lineup set the way it is. And his average is likely to be more in the 295-315 range.
So, it's a lot closer than people are saying. Jenkins gets you 20 extra RBIs and maybe 10 extra HRs. Kotsay gets you about 30 extra BA points, maybe 10-20 extra runs and 5-7 extra SBs.
My league counts OPS but they are about even there. I have the two of them ranked within a hair of each other with Jenkins, just barely on top.