PacmanJr wrote:In Head-to-head points, hitting is the key b/c they are consistent.
No offense, but I disagree with this (and this is just a matter of opinion... I should look around the net to see if I can find something to back it up).
IMO, in a baseball league that starts (for example) 9 hitters and 9 pitchers, you want a certain "base" level of consistency, but the ability to win over a year is generated from people that have large devations from the norm (i.e. the "streaky" player or the "home run hitter"). The reason is this: If you have a solid base (say for example 1/2 your team) then you will guarantee a certain level of performance.
If the other half of your team is equally solid, then you know every week you'll put up your 35 runs, 35 RBIs, .270 Avg and 15 HRs. (for example). However, with a streaky roster, you'll have your base of 17 runs and 17 RBIs, 7 HRs and a .270 avg, but that one streaky player may generate on his OWN 10-15 runs and a .350 average that pull your enitre team up. If one player can out-do your opponents' two players, you will win. I believe this is even more important in a points league than a roto league (where eventually all variations will even out over time). Basically in a points HTH league, you're looking for the big-blast from a couple of players that may be able to outperform 1/2 the players on the other team combined.
Pitchers are an excellent example of this. A pitcher like Randy Johnson or Pedro (in their prime) would put up points equivelant to about 2-3 other pitchers in each start. Having someone like that on your roster would almost give you the equivelant of 5 "average" starters. A batter is not going to be able to do that. Sure - A-Rod is great, but if the average batter is putting up 80 runs and 80 RBIs with a .260 BA, A-Rod still (probably) won't put up 160 runs and 160 RBIs with a .420 BA to out-perform "two" other batters.
In a points league, I would seriously consider stocking up on high-risk high-reward type players (making Santana/RandyJ my first 2 picks). There are plenty of consistent batters around to give you a solid base, but when you have 2 pitchers on your staff that can outproduce an entire team's pitching on a weekly basis, you will win.
Conversley - if those players get injured (Randy) or come back to reality (Santana), then you're screwed... but if they don't you're getting a title.