The Cow wrote:Simply put Schmidt has the better resume. Prior makes a nice cover letter, but when you look at what they have done well its Schmidt.
It is easy to argue that the 24 year old Prior has more upside than the 32 year old Schmidt, but what you want at pick 11 is a safe pick, not a bust. As for Prior upside maybe if healthy he posts a 3.20 ERA and 1.08 WHIP like Schmidt has done.
Now who is better if both are healthy? If both are healthy they are about equal. BUT I will take the guy that did not have shoulder AND elbow problems last year.
Schmidt is 32 and in his prime on a winning team. Whats not to like?
You really think Scmidt has the better resume? I guess I only see 3 good years after 3 years of battling injuries and prior to all that he was a starter for 3 years and put up poor numbers from a fantasy perspective.
Prior on the other hand has only pitched one full season - he was called up late in '02, and was injured all of '04. In that only full season he beat Schmidt's best season:
Prior '03 - 211 ip/ 18W/2.43ERA/1.1WHIP/245K
I know you are thinking "Nu-uh Scmidt had better%s in '03 and more ks in '04". And of course I will counter, "yes, but he didnt put it all together in one season like Prior in his only full yr trying, plus he needed more ip to have that higher K total."
I really hope everyone reading this knows that Prior has the higher ceiling, but because he was injured last yr he is cionsidered a greater injury risk. If you draft Schmidt ahead of Prior you are doing so based on safety - not ceiling, which is fine, just as long as you understand that Prior does have the higher ceiling.