Amazinz wrote:Yeah I think 100 RBIs is more realistic. He probably won't get the opportunities to post 125.
exactly. Although he probably has the best "per AB" ratio stats of anybody in the game, he doesnt get nearly enough opportunities to get more than 100 RBI.
In a redraft league, I'd say he's worth a top 5 pick. But people dont pick him there for a number of reasons.
1) People hate him as much as or more than any other player in sports
2) He's old, and people dont think he can continue to put up such gaudy numbers (although he will this year)
3) People are scared of the effects of not being on steroids (but I dont believe he was juiced up last year, and look what he did)
In a keeper league, he drops even more, and this time its warranted. Why spend a 1st round pick on a guy that will only get you two years of production (though excellent production at that), when you could draft somebody equally as or slightly less productive that will be around for at least 5 years?