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HOOTIE wrote:ERBOES, good to see you. How's your site doing? I don't expect Arod to drop to $29 myself, like you are hinting. He should pass the 106 rbis easily. He was a bit unfortunate in hit % at 31. If he hits 33%, 300 avg should be there. Vlad's hit% was 33, when he's hit 330. Dropped 25-30 points when he's been at 31%. Do you think Arod will be more relaxed this year. He pressed bad with risp last year. Vlad will out earn Arod no doubt. The question is by how much, and how much do you factor in position scarcity? How did you come up with 15 better player's last year? Value? Did you factor in scarcity?
CORNBREAD, last year in a 5x5 Vlad earned $37 to Arods $32.
HOOTIE wrote:ERBOES, i agree in about everything you stated. You, like me, agree that Arod's numbers likely improve in everything but sb. He won't ever be the Texas Arod again. I just think he pressed a bit. His numbers with runners on, risp, were un Arod. While his road ops was on par with years past, for some reason, his road hrs were 5 under his road avg, for the previous 6 seasons before hand. There's no question Vlad is the better hitter now, and will out earn Arod. Last year was $5 more. The question is, will it be less then 5, stay there, or get a bigger gap? I'm not saying take Arod over Vlad, i just think it's close because of the infield. I just like a strong infield myself, which is why i brought up position. How close does the value have to be for you to consider Arod in shouting distance? I think the only thing we disagree on is how much the difference will be?
Cornbread Maxwell wrote:Well, instead of using the sample size of the greatest basestealers ever, Id go with all MLB players. I think using the best as an indication of normal is a mistake, dont you?
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