Most Accurate MLB Experts Past 4 Years
Moderator: Baseball Moderators
WeaponsMasProduction wrote:his numbers would have to fall off pretty dramatically for him to become a fringe second round pick Erboes.
I know everyone dislikes arod but he still is one of the very best players in the game both realistically and fantasy wise.
Cornbread Maxwell wrote:Regression to the mean.
Cornbread wrote:Age - 30 is not prime, Mookie, but if thats what you believe...
- that baseball referrence link you gave - you cant seriously be using that as your proof that the prime age is 30, right?
Mookie4ever wrote:Cornbread wrote:Age - 30 is not prime, Mookie, but if thats what you believe...
- that baseball referrence link you gave - you cant seriously be using that as your proof that the prime age is 30, right?
Why don't you go through the stats of base stealers. There is no natural decline at the age of 30. Their totals go up and down depending on their situation but 30 is either average or the apex for most basestealers. Coleman steadily declined, but he started off with over a hundred in his rookie year. Where do you get your info that prof baseball players start declining at 30?
Cornbread Maxwell wrote:Mookie4ever wrote:Cornbread wrote:Age - 30 is not prime, Mookie, but if thats what you believe...
- that baseball referrence link you gave - you cant seriously be using that as your proof that the prime age is 30, right?
Why don't you go through the stats of base stealers. There is no natural decline at the age of 30. Their totals go up and down depending on their situation but 30 is either average or the apex for most basestealers. Coleman steadily declined, but he started off with over a hundred in his rookie year. Where do you get your info that prof baseball players start declining at 30?
Tell you what - since its common theory to assume a player steals less as they get older after the 25-28 peak years, and since you are the one taking the stand outside of common perception - that a player's SB peak actually come in at the age of 30, why dont you prove to me that you're right.
Now, correct me if Im wrong, but from the link you provided, Im assuming you are using that to prove your theory. If thats the case, then what you have done is taken the alltime steals leaders as your sample study.
You prove to me that a player hits his peak basestealing years at 30. Im an open minded guy, educate me.
Cornbread Maxwell wrote:Well, instead of using the sample size of the greatest basestealers ever, Id go with all MLB players. I think using the best as an indication of normal is a mistake, dont you?
Mookie4ever wrote:Cornbread Maxwell wrote:Well, instead of using the sample size of the greatest basestealers ever, Id go with all MLB players. I think using the best as an indication of normal is a mistake, dont you?
Ozzie Smith and Omar Viquel are the greatest basestealers ever?
Mookie4evah wrote:His age is not an issue at all. 30 is a prime age for basestealers. Take a look at the numbers of the top basestealers of all time:
http://www.baseball-reference.com/leade ... reer.shtml
Cornbread Maxwell wrote:Im pretty sure you need an out at this point Mookie, that is, unless you can prove to me that the average baseballplayer peaks when he hits 30. What you have shown me at this point is anecdotal evidence that the greatest basestealers ever continue to run even when they hit 30.
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 3 guests