Heres how id fly:
then you get down to guys like Eckstein, Crosby, Upton (if the D-Rays wake up and use him there) maybe Izturis, K. Greene......ah man i need to go do my cheat sheet
Sorry, no love for Guillen or Cabrera
This is not to brag, but to establish some credentials so you will take my opinions seriously. Last season, it was I (as the projection's person for Rotoguys.com) who recommended everyone pass on Nomar and Renteria and instead take Tejada or Jeter.
For this season, I am strongly recommending you pass on the top three on this list because they are way overvalued and instead take Renteria fairly early or wait and wait then wait some more and take Matsui way, way later. My rationale for these players is as follows:
Tejada -- I loved Tejada last season and I still like him, but he is overvalued. To get him you would need to spend a first rounder on him and that is a waste.
Young -- Young's stats look better than they really are. He got nearly 700 AB's last season, which is incredible if you think about it. If he had 600 AB's, say, which is about normal, you are only talking about 18-19 HR's and 85 RBI's. Big deal. What this means is, from a day to day perspective, you are getting less pop than you think you are getting. Overvalued.
Nomar -- We told you last season he was slipping, so why is he still ranked so highly now that he is out of Fenway? Plus, he there is a high level of risk associated with him. Don't pay for reputation, just performance.
Renteria -- You guys are really missing the boat with this guy. He will go nuts hitting in Fenway and I am saying right now he will contend for the batting crown. He will also get you over 100 RBI's, approach 20 HR's, and score well over 100 runs. The runs part is easy. In St. Louis he had the like of Matheny hitting behind him. In Boston, it will be Nixon and Veritek. The only downside is he is unlikely to top 20 SB's. Regardless, I am betting on him to be the top rated SS when the season is over.
Matsui -- Great, great value. He'll hit .300 with 15 HR's or so and swipe over 20 bags. When everyone is down on a player is when you want to get him, and Matui certainly qualifies.
Guys, you can heed my advice or not, but I think it may be wise if you at least think about what I say, especially if you are one of those who cried last season about how Sosa was killing your team (Sosa was another big "Rotoguys.com avoid at all costs" special).