I wouldn't classify Crawford as a specialist. IMO, you can pencil him in for 100 runs, 15 HR, 70 RBI (he'll probably hit second behind Gathright), 50+ SB, and .300 AVG.
15 HR isn't going to win you any titles, but netiher is the 5-10 SB that Sheff will contribute. It's not much different than Johnny Damon will give you and more than Ichiro. Also the 70 RBIs don't hurt, ask everyone who picked up on Derek Jeter when all he does is get 70 RBIs.
Crawford doesn't hurt you in any partiicular category and helps you big time in 3 categories. To put things in perspective, if I told you you could draft a player who would put up 104 runs, 50 HR, 110 RBI, 5 SB, and .296 AVG, would that be a 1st round caliber player? You'd be hard-pressed to find someone who would say no. But that's almost exactly what Crawfords numbers would look like if his value was translated to a power hitter. In roto the approximate value of runs and RBI or statistically identical and the value of HR and SB is identical. According to Rototimes, a HR and SB is worth about .11 points and runs and RBIs are worth .03 points.
Crawford had 104 runs, 11 HR, 55 RBI, 59 SB, and .296 AVG last year or 104/11/55/59/.296. Since HR and SB are equivalent, we can transpose those to 104/59/55/11/.296. Most power hitters don't steal too much, so lowering his 11 SB to 5 SB is lessening by 6, which has a value of .66, which equates to 22 RBI, making the number 104/59/77/5/.296. And to even things out, let's lower HR by 9, to 50, giving us a value of .99, or 33 RBI, making his final total 104/50/110/5/.296. Compare that to Manny Ramirez who most people agree goes in the first 10 picks. Manny had 108 runs, 43 HR, 130 RBI, 2 SB, .308 AVG.
And to compound things, most people expect Crawford to get better.
So, in not so short, Crawford is not a specialist, and most definitely worthy of a first round pick.
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