Cornbread Maxwell wrote:
New Zealand Fan wrote:You rate Beltran No. 1, yet one of the few guys around that can potentially do what he can, suddenly drops out of the Top 10 after one year below his lofty standards and that after playing for a new team. No lessons have been learnt. You are still putting way too much emphasis on the most current season's performances without looking at the big picture.
I agree with NZF here - way too much put into last yrs performance with Soriano - as expected in fantasy circles. This sort of overreaction happens all the time. Hell, a 2B that has 40/30 potential - let alone 40/40 - should go in the 1st rd of every draft this yr - but he wont because people will put too much emphasis on his disapointing yr last yr. Not me.
The slow keeper draft that was posted - whoever snagged Soriano and Abreu on the turn stole the first 2 rds.
So you guys think Soriano will increase his SB's by that much? By what reasoning, because he did it with the Yankees? He's a good base stealer but the Rangers don't run. Yeah he could get 25 SB's and 40 HR. That's very good, and is 1st round IMO. That's about his max though I think. A more reasonable prediction would be 35 HR and 20 SB's. If his BA, R, or RBI were more respectable, I'd say first round no problem. And even with the sub-100 R/RBI he could be worth a first round pick.
I wasn't draft him because people think his SB's are going to return to normal. Before reading this I figured he'd probably go in the top 5 or so, along with A-Rod, simply because that's where people are used to taking them. But it seems people are projecting him towards the end of the first round, which does seem reasonable. I just like to have a solid player with my first pick, and I don't consider Soriano a solid player. What if his SB's drop even lower? I can see that happening, and it would kill his value cosidering the only other stat he really excels in is HR. It'd definately be tempting to take him in the middle of the first round but I'd probably go with Abreu, Tejada, Manny, or somebody like that if they were there. Once I've made my list, I'll know what my top 10 is but as of now I've only done a chunk of the projections since it's exam time and I havn't begun ranking them based on the projections.
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