Amazinz wrote:The overload of talent at 3B knocks Beltre out of the first round IMO. In a 12-team or smaller league everyone is going to have good production at the position. So I would definitely prefer to target something else in round one.
But yet you would have no problem taking A-Rod, probably close to the top of the first, no?
Yes, for a several reasons. One, stolen bases. This doesn't apply in H2H but the difference in steals is enough for a serious value shift. I know Arod is unlikely to match last year's total but I don't think 20 is unreasonable. Beltre may
be able to match Arod's BA and HR totals but I'll put my stock in Arod's ability to reproduce them over Beltre's. Finally (this depends on where Beltre ends up), due to the Yankees lineup I like Arod's chances to reproduce or exceed his team-based stats (R, RBI). Beltre's R and RBI have a very good chance of falling sharply.
Maine has a good swing for a pitcher but on anything that moves, he has no chance. And if it's a fastball, it has to be up in the zone. Basically, the pitcher has to hit his bat. - Mike Pelfrey