stumpak wrote:"You guys got to be kidding my about Beltre. No one who has over a thousand OPS is a fluke. Even if he slips he's still going to hit .300 with 40 bombs. Accept the fact that the kid (25) finally learned to his. It happens you know."
Actually, there are quite a young players who have posted similar spectacular season in terms of OPS in recent years and not exactly maintained that same level of performance throughout their careers for one reason or another:
+ more I can remember
The point is that although Beltre is clearly a talented player, but so were these guys, and one season of 1.000 OPS does not mean that he can't slip back to .800 OPS over the long-term. In Beltre's case, this is exacerbated by a proclvity to produce ony when his ass is on the line, such as 2004 which was a contract year.
You are misunderstanding my point. It is very, very, rare for a player to go from a .700 OPS up to over 1.000, then back to .700. It is very likely that he will slip back under 1.000 next season, but that is only because he does not walk that much, but he will not go back into the .700's, that I am sure of. The only player on your list that comes close is Olerud, but that was based on one flukish, high averge/high walk season, but he still was consistently in the .800/.900 range after that. Mitchell had a few good seasons at the end of his career, and it should be pointed out that his 1.000 OPS season was supported by a few that were close to that afterwards, which proves my point that it wasn't a fluke. Delgado was over 1.000 twice, but other than that in the .900's mostly. Erstad was never over 1.000. Salmon was over 1.000 early in his career, and after that he was consistently in the .900's. Giambi was over a grand three straight years and over .900 for five until he dipped under it this past season.