great gretzky wrote:the standings are: 75, 55, 53, 47, 45,36, 30, 14, 13,8
I currently have graves, f. cordero, smoltz (I just traded way Isiringhausen to the team with 45 saves -- he also has rivera, urbina, herges
let's do some math.
40% of the season is gone. assuming the other people behind you don't get their paws on more closers, you are going to end up with the following numbers of saves (assuming constant production):
___. 137, 132,117, ___, ___, 75,35, 32, 20
the three blanks are you and the two guys you will have traded away your closers to. if you trade away 33 saves... (19 from cordero and 14 from izzy and they continue on the same pace, as does graves (unlinely...)) then the 45 save guy will end up with
133 saves and the 36 save guy would end up with 118 saves... you, however, would end up with 157 if you trade away izzy and cordero and pick up baez.
i.e. the blanks get filled in with 157, 133 and 118, respectively. (assuming constant production and no changes... ) however, if any of the teams behind you trade for a closer or wisen up and pick up baez, (or any of the other closers that are avaialable) you might be in trouble.
hope that helps.
Give a man a fish and he'll eat for a day, teach a man to fish and he'll drown because you forgot to teach him to swim.
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