slomo007 wrote:Amazinz, read the links, they say that Soriano does want to come back to NY.
Any reference he has made to playing in NY again has been about the Yankees. I have read the article. Show me a quote that says Soriano wants to play for the Mets? It doesn't exist except for NY media who have said, "Sources in Soriano's family admitted Alfonso would be willing to play RF for the Mets in order to move back to New York." Umm, OK.
Issue number two, the Rangers are not going to get both Reyes and Kazmir for Soriano. First off, Reyes is the NY Mets poster child for the future. Trading him away for an ex-Yankee would be public relations suicide. No way they are going to do it.
Here's an article from BaseballProspectus concerning the trade that sums up how I feel better than I could:
BaseballProspectus wrote:If you believe the trade rumors, Alfonso Soriano could be headed back to New York. Texas wants Jose Reyes or Scott Kazmir, and the Mets don't want to give them up. Should they? Let's take a look.
Soriano for Reyes: Here's the Equivalent Average (EqA) that PECOTA projects for each player over the next five years.
2004 .292 .261
2005 .294 .269
2006 .285 .282
2007 .288 .280
2008 .276 .298
Starting in 2006, Reyes should be just as good. He's also seven years younger, and a whole lot cheaper: he won't even be a free agent until these projections are in the past, while Soriano will cost $5.4 million this season, and a lot more in arbitration over the next two, and then even more as he becomes a free agent. If you're one player away from contention, then you think about it. The Mets aren't. Pass.
Soriano for Kazmir: Oh, boy. You know what they say: There's No Such Thing As A Pitching Prospect. But if there is such a thing, then Scott Kazmir is it. Who else has Kazmir's ceiling? Zack Greinke, maybe Cole Hamels. Nobody else. Kazmir's the type of prospect that makes even TNSTAAPP loyalists quake in their boots.
There are two reasons the Mets should not trade Scott Kazmir for Alfonso Soriano. One: it's a sub-optimal use of resources. Soriano's value to the Mets is less than to most teams, since they're set at both short and second. If they have to make Soriano an outfielder, he loses a ton of his value; heck, with Mike Cameron on board, they couldn't even move him to center. Two: the Mets are rebuilding. They do not need to trade a stud pitcher who could be in their rotation by July 2005 for someone who will be a free agent in three years and will cost them $25 million before then. As with Reyes, the difference between Soriano and Kazmir isn't just on the field but at the bank, and that money could be used elsewhere.
So unless the Rangers will settle for less (Justin Huber, maybe?), the Mets would be better served keeping the kids.