Anyone know the odds of Alfonseca getting dealt? more than 50% less than 50? about 50? I'm in an NL-only league, could use some saves help, but if he gets dealt he becomes utterly useless to me. He' s been offered to me in exchange for Brent Butler, straight up.
Other information that's probably useful: 11 team, NL-Only, 5 x 5 keeper league. Butler is signed at $5 through 2004 and Alfonseca is signed at $19 through 2003. Salary cap is $280. Alfonseca would replace Guillermo Mota in the starting lineup, whereas Butler would be replaced by, ugh, either Delino DeShields or Ronnie Belliard. Finally, my placement in categories are (and everything except strikeouts, I can move up in)....AVG (4) HR (3) RBI (7) RUNS (7) SB (7, but just acquired Luis Castillo, so subject to change very shortly), W (4) SV (4) ERA (6) WHIP (1) SO (6, like 60 down from 5, thats why I probably won't move up)
Is making this trade worth the gamble that Alfonseca gets moved and becomes useless? What do people think here?