Kennedy over the long haul is risky. The fact is, many pitchers start out well in Colorado (Hampton, Jennings, Chacon) but at some point, they get shellacked, they lose their confidence, and they lose their game. No pitcher has really had a good, full season in Colorado. I think the best year was Jason Jennings in '02, who went 16-8 with a 4.52 ERA. Next best season, ever, was Pedro Astacio, who was 17-11 with a 5+ ERA in '99 or '00.
Kennedy has as good of a chance as anyone, since he is great at inducing ground balls, and he doesn't walk many people. I just worry that he will play a game where the wind is blowing out to left field, he will give up nine runs off five homers in three innings and get all screwed up in the head.
My rule of thumb is to avoid Rockies pitchers. The risk is greater than the reward.
And I'm a Rockies fan!
"I came here to kick ass and chew bubble gum. And I'm all out of gum."