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Postby biju » Mon Apr 26, 2004 6:30 pm

Zito is God wrote:Jeter is a career .300 hitter who gets on many times. I would never cut him, and wouldn't try to trade him with the value he has now.

I agree. The guy has a career average for a reason. Although this drought he's currently in is bad, he'll make up for it eventually by going on a hot streak (or at least an extended above average streak). I don't see why you'd want him for the bad part and then trade him right before he goes on a tear.

It's a standard regression to the mean, and the likelihood that this has become the new standard is in the low percentages of probability. Unless, of course, there is some underlying circumstance (such as an injury) that we're not aware of.

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Postby Z-Dog » Mon Apr 26, 2004 6:47 pm

Dang Biju, been going to stats class this week?
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