KolbSaves wrote:I doubt anyone has 7 10 win pitchers, they probably have at least three 15 win pitchers, the other teams are going to win most weeks in k's and wins if you don't acquire another starter.
I disagree with that. 15+ win starters are much more rare than you'd think.
Looking at last year's stats, there were only 26 pitchers with 15 wins or more. Given a standard 12 team league, the average team would have about 2 15 win pitchers. Now, if one team is very strong (I'd see 3 15-win pitchers on BigMusky12's roster and the other two being in the 10-15 win range) that will decrease the number of solid pitchers available on other teams.
Some other stats to look at:
Average # of wins for pitchers who pitched >150 innings = 12.6
Average # of wins for starting pitchers ranked in the top 84 by Yahoo (why 84? becase 84/12 = 7 starters per team) = 12.9
# of pitchers in top 84 with > 15 wins = 24
# of pitchers in top 84 with 11-15 wins = 37
# of pitchers in top 84 with 10 or less wins = 23
It is very unlikely that the average
team will have more than 3 pitchers expecting to win 15 games. In fact, most teams will have one or two that will win 15+, 2 or 3 that will win 10-15 and maybe 2 that will win less than 10.
I'd also recommend against trading Rhodes. Having 4 solid closers and good quality starters gives you solid WHIP, ERA and Saves. That's 3 of the 5 categories. Dotel & Gagne can strike out as many batters as most starters (they averaged over 100Ks last year) and all of Oswalt, Webb, Clement and Vasquez can get up to 200 Ks. Again, looking at the average starter in the top 84, you get 141 strikeouts in a year. An average 7-man starting rotation would get about 1000 strikeouts in a fantasy season, plus another 200 from relievers. I think the starting rotation he has is capable of about 950 and the relievers another 350 which is right about on league average. AND with a lower ERA and WHIP. AND with more Saves than most teams. That's 4 of the five categories.
Like I said, the only thing I'd do is take a flyer on a prospect. You don't even have to start him unless you're in need. If he turns out good (for example, like a Brandon Webb last year) you're set. If not, leave him on your bench, trade him or drop him - nothing lost.
My advice - Don't water down your strength - use it. If you trade Rhodes, you lose 20-30 saves and a good WHIP & ERA and pick up what? Maybe a 13 win pitcher and 100 Ks on the year (assuming Rhodes gets 60) at the cost of a lower ERA and WHIP... that's a trade of gaining in 2 categories (Wins and Ks) at the cost of 3 (saves, ERA, WHIP).