cardinals15 hit the nail on the head:
The thing about herniated disks is they generally don't get better without a nice long rest period, or surgery.
I agree 110%.
I certaintly would still take him 1st round. Hysteria leads to panic. Panic leads to bad decisions.
Bad first round draft picks also leads to terrible fantasy seasons. And fantasy owners who look at past history know that this is a bad injury for fantasy owners. Believe me, I've been playing fantasy ball, quite successfully, for years now. And if you aren't leary of this injury, you're ignoring patterns.
Bad news because his worth probably drops a bit now. Hopefully he starts the season hot and I can deal him away for proper value.
Or you could find somebody like Hootie and get full value for him now. I'm not telling people to dump him for less than full value. But as I alluded to in the first message, plenty of fantasy owners will ignore the severity of this injury and will pay full price for an A-Rod or Helton with a bad neck/back. So in a non-keeper league only, I'd find one of them and try to make a deal. Further, the nature of this injury is that it'll become more aggravated, the more he plays. So his value is more likely to drop, rather than go higher.