### Starting Opposing Pitchers from Fantasy Team- Strategy

Posted:

**Sun Apr 13, 2014 1:34 pm**Hey everyone.

This is just something I think about when I happen to have two pitchers from my fantasy team going head-to-head, facing each other in a matchup. What do you guys usually do?

I know there are a lot of factors that go into determining who to start (who the opponent is, the location, the quality of the SPs, etc.) In shallower leagues, where nearly every pitcher on the staff is very good, these other factors are less important, but in deeper leagues, it can make a bit of a difference. You certainly don't Sit a pitcher who is going to give you a great ERA/WHIP and strike out 10 batters. This is more for your league-average pitchers.

Here are some things to consider:

Assuming you're in a league with a finite number of Starts per season (usually 200), Starts are a valuable commodity, and shouldn't necessarily be wasted.

If you start two opposing SPs, you are giving yourself a 100% chance of not getting a Win from one of them.

Starting Pitchers, on average, get a WIN approximately 40% of the time.

So, if you start two opposing SPs, you're giving yourself an 80% chance of walking away from the game with 1 WIN, while using up 2 Starts.

At the same time, if those same two pitchers were pitching on the same day, but in different games, (again, all other factors being equal), the chances of you getting 1 WIN would be 40%, but you'd also have a 16% chance of getting 2 WINS from BOTH SPs.

As you can see, the primary motivation for this line of thinking would be finding the right way to Maximize Wins Per Start. Certainly when it comes to higher-quality starters, you have to take into account K rate, and ERA/WHIP as well.

So what do you tend to do when starters face each other on your fantasy team? Do you start both? Do you bench one of them? Admittedly in the past, I've shied away from conflict, not wanting to waste a Start, but I don't know if that is the correct strategy.

This is just something I think about when I happen to have two pitchers from my fantasy team going head-to-head, facing each other in a matchup. What do you guys usually do?

I know there are a lot of factors that go into determining who to start (who the opponent is, the location, the quality of the SPs, etc.) In shallower leagues, where nearly every pitcher on the staff is very good, these other factors are less important, but in deeper leagues, it can make a bit of a difference. You certainly don't Sit a pitcher who is going to give you a great ERA/WHIP and strike out 10 batters. This is more for your league-average pitchers.

Here are some things to consider:

Assuming you're in a league with a finite number of Starts per season (usually 200), Starts are a valuable commodity, and shouldn't necessarily be wasted.

If you start two opposing SPs, you are giving yourself a 100% chance of not getting a Win from one of them.

Starting Pitchers, on average, get a WIN approximately 40% of the time.

So, if you start two opposing SPs, you're giving yourself an 80% chance of walking away from the game with 1 WIN, while using up 2 Starts.

At the same time, if those same two pitchers were pitching on the same day, but in different games, (again, all other factors being equal), the chances of you getting 1 WIN would be 40%, but you'd also have a 16% chance of getting 2 WINS from BOTH SPs.

As you can see, the primary motivation for this line of thinking would be finding the right way to Maximize Wins Per Start. Certainly when it comes to higher-quality starters, you have to take into account K rate, and ERA/WHIP as well.

So what do you tend to do when starters face each other on your fantasy team? Do you start both? Do you bench one of them? Admittedly in the past, I've shied away from conflict, not wanting to waste a Start, but I don't know if that is the correct strategy.