Element wrote:Donnie740 wrote:Belt & Mauer are non factors. Belt is waiver wire fodder and with Mauer possibly losing C eligibility in a year or two his value will take a big drop. But for 2014 Mauer has more value than Belt.
I disagree with this statement. I have him ranked 12th in my 1B rankings (removing Posey & Santana). Belt possesses one of the best line drive rates over the past two seasons & started to hit more balls in the air in 2013. I think that he can get to 20 homers this season. Not bad for a guy that can potentially hit 0.300 and steal double digit bags at your 1B spot. I would gladly add him as my CI.
If you're in a 16 team league or if your roster includes a CI spot, it's obviously a different story. Personal rankings are always debatable, but I don't see Belt any higher than the 15 to 18 range for 1B.
The top 12 are pretty much no-brainers - - Goldschmidt, Fielder, Freeman, C Davis, Votto, Craig, Encarnacion, Pujols, Gonzalez, Butler, Trumbo and Hosmer - - all easily ahead of Belt.
There's a group which would include vets that have a much more proven track record than Belt - - V Martinez, Cuddyer, Lind, LaRoche, Swisher. Belt falls in with a group of young 1B with potential - - Rizzo, Adams, Carter, Moss - - all of whom I'd say have a higher ceiling than Belt.
I can't see Belt outproducing any of the top 12 that I mentioned. Even if he outperforms half of the second tier 1B that still leaves him no better than #16. So in a standard 12 team league, a 1B in the 16 to 22 range is a guy you can swap off the waiver wire quite easily.