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J35J wrote:His velocity is down 2+ mph...so something ain't right. With that said his BABIP is .333 so he can still be effective at this speed if he can get back to a .280-.290 BABIP, which is in line with his career average. Everything else is fairly similar.
TheTrith wrote:Unless of course he is hurt, and simply needs surgery or rest.
TheTrith wrote:I was reading an article abut Verly recently, and if the info was accurate his outlook might be even worse than expected.
Apparently Pitch f/x is classifying every single non-breaking pitch that is under 91 mph as a changeup. Like a straight as an arrow line, with no overlap between fastball/change whatsoever.
But if you've watched him pitch at all this year its completely obvious that a lot of those sub-91 mph are in fact fastballs. So the velocity drop is probably even worse than what the numbers suggest.
Huge velocity drop, along with sudden loss of control, leads me to think that he has a possibly undiagnosed elbow injury that he is hiding.
I definitely would NOT look to buy low on him.
...there is something wrong with Pitch F/X’s pitch classification. For Verlander it seems to have a firm rule: if it’s over 91 mph it’s a fastball and if it’s under 91 it’s a change-up. If you look at the game charts you can see that there are a bunch of fastballs being classified as change-ups in order not to break this rule, which also means that his average fastball velocity is being over-estimated.
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