It appears Halladay has lost velocity for 3 consecutive years, with last year the most steep drop (90.6 to 87.0).
If he doesn't regain his speed, he would toss as hard as Greg Maddux in the few seasons before he retired (2007/2008, going around 86 mph).
Even Maddux, the most prototypical pitcher, with all the control, mechanics, and efficiency, posted an era of 4.14 and 4.22. Not bad.
If Halladay doesn't regain form, I suppose Maddux in his final years would be his "ceiling". Is this fair?
Few more questions:
What round would you draft Halladay?
--Yahoo has him going in the 6th round
--I have him around the 17th round, near Tim Hudson
Do you think the workload has contributed to Hallday's velocity decline?