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1st Round: 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-8-9-10
2nd Round: 10-9-8-7-6-5-4-3-2-1
3rd Round: 2-3-4-5-6-7-8-9-10-1
4th Round: 1-10-9-8-7-6-5-4-3-2
5th Round: 3-4-5-6-7-8-9-10-1-2
6th Round: 2-1-10-9-8-7-6-5-4-3
7th Round: 4-5-6-7-8-9-10-1-2-3
8th Round: 3-2-1-10-9-8-7-6-5-4
9th Round: 5-6-7-8-9-10-1-2-3-4
10th Roud: 4-3-2-1-10-9-8-7-6-5
Luck will even out over sample size. So if you are talking about anything more than a single season in a single league, then you could argue that it's all skill.
Ender wrote:Luck will even out over sample size. So if you are talking about anything more than a single season in a single league, then you could argue that it's all skill.
This is true given a large enough sample but in fantasy baseball that sample is going to be multiple seasons. Give me 10 years and I'll win my league more than an owner that isn't as good as me. Give me 1 year and it might be close to a coin flip. It is a lot like poker. Over a million hands one guy has a huge advantage over another, over the number of hands in a single tourney it is impossible to tell much of anything.
Ender wrote:Lets be honest here though, nobody is saying pure luck. We are assuming a large group of competent players I would assume. I mean my son could never win a league because he knows nothing about baseball or fantasy baseball. The difference between two really good players might be as simple as which one got Trout. I remember reading a story on one of the sites about how over 50% of their leagues were being won by the team that owned Trout. Out of the teams that owned Trout and McCutchen the number was over 90%.
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