thedude wrote:BronXBombers51 wrote:
Lucky to finish 4th?
The Yankees are favored to win the division. In fact, PECOTA projected them to win the East with 88 wins, Tampa to win 84 and Toronto and Boston with 83 each. Could NY finish in 4th? Of course. But they could just as easily finish in 1st. The division is wide open this year and no team looks particularly dominant. The playoffs are a crapshoot, anyone can beat anyone. And it's not as if the Angels, Tigers, Rangers or anyone else in the AL is invincible. The entire league is beatable.
And how can you say "it looks that way for the next 3 years or so" when almost the entire roster is turning over after this year? Aside from A-Rod, Teixiera and Sabathia, the 2013 Yankees are no indicator of what the 2014 or 2015 Yankees will look like. This isn't a team that was hamstrung like Boston was before the mega-deal last year.
Well I assume that PECOTA projection was before Teixera and Granderson got hurt.
You realize the opening day lineup is likely going to be
1B Dan Johnson
SS Nunez (or a still recovering Jeter)
There is no way that is as good as Toronto or Tampa, and will likely need to battle Baltimore for third place. Hafner and Youkilis are hardly iron-men at this point in their careers. This could very well be a team with Dan Johnson batting cleanup.
Well I made that post before the news of Teixeira broke. Obviously that's a blow to the team. Still, we're talking about 1.5-2 months, not a whole season. If the Yankees can survive April and May, I don't see why they can't compete at least for a wild card spot, if not the division. Obviously if they continue losing major players to injury their chances quickly evaporate. But you can say the same thing about Tampa or Toronto if they lose guys like Longoria or Bautista. My point is, the Yankees, as currently constructed, are a team good enough to compete. Not a team "lucky to finish in 4th place" as mudhens said. I'm not making any guarantee as to where they'll finish. I admitted they could easily finish in 4th, maybe even last if things go especially bad. But they could also win the East and I wouldn't bat an eye. That's how open the division is this year. You don't start talking about trading Robinson Cano on March 6 when you have a very reasonable expectation to be competitive.