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Ender wrote:I take guys like Cueto completely off my sheets, he is just a K killer and I still don't trust his ratios to be honest. I'd much rather have someone like Gallardo who goes for the same price.
cannonarm21 wrote:Of course, this is only my opinion.
I feel that what you mention is a common mistake. I think if you use a high draft pick on a pitcher, but don't back it up with a solid #2, that pick ends up being a wasted pick. You have minimum innings pitched, so you will be forced to start several pitchers. One pitcher is not enough. It is too much of a guessing game to assume you will get solid pitchers later in the draft. Chances are the "sleepers" you target will be targeted by other owners. I am one of the few who usually has 3 pitchers by round 11.
Ender wrote:In an auction I aim for 3 guys who I value as $12-$18 or so guys. Usually 1 or 2 guys in that range will go cheaper than your projections. This gives you a solid base of 600 innings and lets you absorb an injury without being completely screwed. Then I go for the $5-$10 guys that i like the most and a few closers who I think will keep the job but aren't going for a lot. Add in a few high value setup guys to keep your ratios up.
SP is insanely deep overall but the known sure thing commodities aren't all that deep and you want at least 3 of those. I would never ever draft a SP for over $25 in an auction. The odds of return on investment given how random the stats are and how injury prone pitchers are is just too high. The thing with pitching is either you understand what makes a good pitcher or you don't, if you understand it you can always get a lot of value cheap.
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