avoid: Felix, CC, Weaver, Lincecum, Sale -there's actually a lot of guys that I'm leery about, but all of these guys have declining FB velocity, some have declining skills (lincecum, halladay - not buying bouncebacks), are an injury waiting to happen (CC, Sale elbows). Felix's K% and SwStr% are up, but he still worries me with his velocity, mileage at that price tag.
target: Samardzija, Homer Bailey, Scherzer, Gio, Matt Moore - all of these guys have seen FB velocity increase last yr, with the exception of Moore who completed his first full season as a starter. Most of these guys have 9+ k/9 ratios, with Bailey being the only non-strikeout asset as a sleeper. Scherzer's 2nd half last year carried me. Gio and The Shark are improving command and BB%. This group could have me pulling my hair out, but I'll risk it with the upside, and anchor my team with offense.
What are some guys you are avoiding/targeting, and why?