Looking back at how the draft has unfolded so far and having done some more reading the past few days here is a little recap of a few of my picks so far.
- 1st round: I'm not happy with Kemp
at #5. I read about his offseason surgery after I made the pick and it's scared me off. In hind sight I would have gone with McCutchen. Unsustainable BABIP be damned, I want the safest 30-30 potential I can get at that pick. Even with a normal BABIP he's still not hurting BA.
- 2nd round: While I like Bautista
a lot here I would take Upton over him if I had to pick again. JUp was dealing with a bum thumb from April until July. Once he took the padding off his thumb his power came back. Bautista's lack of speed and potentially harmful BA aren't as sexy as Upton's potential .300 30-20 season. I don't expect Upton to fall this far as real drafts come around. Overall I'm happy with Bautista here though.
- 3rd round: I have a fantasy boner for Strasburg
this year. There are a lot of great SP value picks 2-3 rounds later but I'm content with passing on a bat here for the potential historic season Strasburg might have. The only pick in this round that makes me question taking Stras is Kinsler.
- 4th round: I'll take Hanley
here all day. .275 20-20 SS don't grow on trees. 90~ RBI from a SS is also a huge bonus. Let's not forget he's only 29 years old and still has the potential to have a resurgent/lucky year putting up 1st round value. I doubt he'll fall this far unless there is something I'm missing.
- 5th round: This is the pick I'm not really happy about. Mostly everyone can agree that Headley
will see his HR/FB% and he'll be lucky to hit 25 HR again even with the fences moving in at Petco. Other than that his numbers look repeatable. .280 22-15 with limited upside from a 3rd basemen is really solid, just not solid enough for a 5th round pick.
Here's the pitch on the way, a swing and a belt! Left field! Way back! BLUE JAYS WIN!