mweir145 wrote:I would have just signed Swisher rather than overpay for Hamilton, I think. A lot of risk in giving a long-term contract like this.
As for how good this makes the Angels, don't forget that Torri Hunter was more valuable than Hamilton last season. He's basically just going to be replacing that production. Greinke and Haren are also gone now. I'd expect them to be a playoff team, of course, but I'm not sure I'd call them WS favorites or anything.
I don't care what WAR says. This isn't true.
Yeah, I figured that one was coming. Do you have some other, better measure of value for last year than both rWAR and fWAR that tells you that Hamilton was the better player in 2012? Or is it simply the fact that Hamilton is the bigger name and current talent, so he intuitively "should" be more valuable?
Offensively, they weren't nearly as far as apart as their slash lines made it appear due to the difference in ballparks (139 OPS+ for Hamilton vs. 132 OPS+ for Hunter). And Hunter's defense was superb under both UZR and DRS (while Hamilton's was the opposite, especially with his butchering in CF all season).
Regardless, whether Hunter was more valuable or not really wasn't the point of the post. It's that they are basically replacing Hunter's very good production from 2012 for a far more costly and risky alternative. The upgrade with Hamilton on Hunter's 2012, if you even believe there is one, is negligible at best. And they've still taken a step back on the pitching side. They're not AL favorites or even AL West favorites yet.
there might be a lot of risk in the contract but Hamilton is a difference maker and there is every indication that inflation is going to go crazy in the next few years in baseball.
You're right about the crazy inflation coming, I suspect. But I wonder how much of a difference maker Hamilton will be in a offense suppressing park that saps power as both his contact skills and defense continue to erode.
Hamilton's career slash line at Rangers Ball Park: .315/.373/.592
Hamilton's career slash line at Angels Stadium: .260/.325/.440