bigh0rt wrote:Do we not think that given an entire off-season for teams to plan on how to pitch him, etc. that he's really incapable of performing lower than his worst month in what has a legitimate chance of being his best season? Don't get me wrong, dude could continue blowing the doors off, certainly. But this notion that he's above the possibility of severely, severely dropping off next season is simply puzzling to me.
Yes, there is certainly a possibility that Trout can perform worse in 2013 than he has in any month of 2012. But what are the odds that this happens for a full season? Even if Trout was lucky in the AVG and power department, how on earth can you argue that he falls off a cliff (I'm assuming a severe, severe drop means he becomes almost irrelevant)?
His 2011 numbers? Please. After his 2012 campaign I don't see how you can weigh his 2011 stats that much. Yes, teams will adjust and his luck will regress. But when has any rookie posted this type of season? Never? Ryan Braun came close. He regressed some in his 2nd year but he still ended as a top player.