Skin Blues wrote:Here is Matt Kemp's slash line from the final 5 months of the season (when he started dealing with injuries): 275/330/450 with 11 HR and 7 SBs.
His insane April has masked his god awful May/June/July/August/September/October. His shoulder and hamstring issues have made him a shell of his former self. Maybe they'll both fully heal in the off season, or maybe he'll spend more time on the DL, have diminished power, and stop stealing bases. He probably wouldn't even be in my top 25.
And that is fine, I wouldn't draft him in the 1st round either because I don't like risky types. But his upside at least warrants consideration over Braun who is by far without a doubt not even close or arguably the best safe option in baseball as your #1. That is really my big problem with the Cabrera #1 talk, he is and has been inferiour to Braun for years while moving out of his prime while Braun is just moving into his. Unless you are in some league that really devalues OF there just is no good reason to take MCab over Braun. You can make arguments for high upside high risk guys (arguments I don't agree with) but there just hasn't been a good argument in this entire thread for MCab over Braun.