NikkiSixx wrote:Ender wrote:NikkiSixx wrote:
You must have avoided Matt Cain as well.
Last year was Zimmermann's first "full season" and his innings were monitored. I think of Zimmermann REALLY wanted to he could be an 7.5-8 K/9 guy, but why fox what isn't broken.
I probably Won't be taking Zimm next season if he goes higher than the 5th round because I don't usually take pitching that high, but I think he is an excellent pitcher and will continue to be a great weapon for any fantasy team for years to come.
Nope. Cain has a solid long term track record of beating his xFIP. If Cain got traded to another team he would be worthless to me but that park and that division suits him and makes him 10 times as valuable as his actual skills. If Zimmerman had a long history of this type of thing I would have a very different opinion of him but he just doesn't at this point.
Well Zimmermann had last years full season and this years full season, and has the talent to potentially have a K/9 breakout within the next couple years... Guys who throw 96 mph usually strike out more batters than what Zimmermann has done, so to say he'd be a complete downside pick next year seems silly.
Henderson Alvarez throws just as hard as Zimmermann does, and has put up 3.4 K/9 this season. Not saying their talents are equal, but you can't just correlate a K-rate with how hard a guy throws. Zimm is looking like a 3.60 ERA 1.20 WHIP kind of pitcher, with 7 K/9. That's pretty good, but people are going to be drafting him based on his low ERA this season and the hope that his K/9 will miraculously out-produce his career numbers in both the majors (7.3) and minors (8.6 in AA, 6.4 in AAA). For his career - despite the large discrepency this season - his ERA is not far off of his xFIP/SIERA. There's just not much room for profit, IMO, and I'll let somebody else pay the premium required to acquire him.