bigh0rt wrote: k.k. wrote:
bigh0rt wrote:This is really what is to be expected. A boatload of strikeouts, a little bit of pop, and hopefully the eye he showed this year and not over the rest of his career. If he posts an OPS over .750 I'll be surprised.
Looking ahead, what do you see for next year with Marte?
He carries an elevated BABIP because he's fast, but I don't see him being able to sustain the BABIP he carried as a Minor Leaguer in the MLB (See: Dee Gordon), so I don't think there's a prayer he approaches the .300 hitter he's been as a Minor Leaguer. I think he bats .275, strikes out way too much, doesn't walk nearly enough, and is generally not a very good 5x5 fantasy outfielder, unless he changes his approach at the plate.
damn you sure are down on Marte. you don't expect him to be very good? not even good 5x5 fantasy OF? he's been one of the Pirates top prospects.
one can make a comparison to Andrew McCutchen.
McCutchen career minor league- 511/1967 - .286/.362/.423/.785
Marte career minor league- 353/1402 - .313/.363/.481/.845
however Marte hasn't walked as much in the minors as McCutchen did, and Marte also strikes out more often than McCutchen did in the minors.
so I would not expect the AVG to be high. but his K rate isn't that high, so I don't think he's going to be some type of .260ish type hitter. he could still be .280ish type hitter.
maybe he could be similar to players like..
Adam Jones, but with more SB. that is Adam Jones coming into this season, not the Jones breaking out in 2012.
Austin Jackson, but with more power.
he does have power and speed.
really rough estimate, but I think even starting next year he has the good potential to have 15+ HR with 20+ SB, and maybe down the road 20/20 at least every year.
he's still only 23 years old and improving. there are always a lot of rookies who have good/great minor league numbers but don't translate that in the majors. Marte could be a bust, or he could continue to grow and be really good.