Izenhart wrote:1stly - Of the 6 hits allowed you feel Latos has been overly lucky, whereas it could also be conversly true, maybe the hitters are the lucky ones and Latos HAS been that overpowering lately. I have watched him pitch and he is hitting the corners with consistency and with pinpoint precision. He's just on fire right now.
The HR spike was predicted. A flyball pitcher leaving PetCo will see a rise in ERA due to more HRs allowed.
All in all I think his recent flourish of brilliance has been an equalizer on his current projected talent and has put his stats more in line with what numbers we should see from him.
I'm not a fan of splits (home, road) from pitchers in neutral parks. Sometimes the two bad games they have are both at home or on the road and people wrongly think he's only good to pitch in one and not the other.
In 12x12 mixed's I'd take him off any WW and play matchups.
Re: your first point I definitely considered that but my post was so long already I didn't want to take the time to mention it--I'm a pessimist by nature so if given the choice, I'll assume the glass is half empty every time.
No doubt a HR spike was expected, but I don't think this HR spike was predicted. I mean we're talking about a 40ish HR allowed pace--that's not bad, it's downright awful. But again, it might actually be a good thin--if there is in fact something to xFIP then we should expect it to normalize.
Re: the splits, I admit I didn't look too deeply into the actual matchups and how the splits ended up so lopsided, so I'll certainly concede that point to you.
Finally, thanks a ton for you reply