jefferey13 wrote:I don't think Ellsbury for Upton is an obvious reject. I do think the entire deal is.
Ellsbury beat Upton in every stat last year and I don't think that's something to downplay. So if I could agree they're even, but I can't see Halladay for Lincecum.
And I don't think all leagues have to have restrictions on keepers, just most leagues do.
I'm not downplaying it, but when you have one player coming off a career year where he was MILES better than any previous year, or another player, 4 years younger, who is steadily improving on a yearly basis... which one is more likely to repeat? Which one is more likely to improve?
Yes, Doc is better than Tim. But the OP has a solid enough rotation to survive the dropoff, and I think Upton makes up the difference over Ellsbury. I think there is a greater chance that Ellsbury reverts to the .798 OPS player with 60 steals than he has another .900+ season. That is still insanely valuable, but I believe Upton is going to be that much better than Ellsbury.
We'll have to agree to disagree on this one.