I don't buy that Capps is going to suck just because he had a bad year last year.
In 2010, his stats in MIN were:
27 IP: 2.00 ERA, 1.185 WHIP, 16 SV, 21 K, 2.63 K/BB
Not shabby numbers, and certainly more in line with his career numbers than 2011.
Career: 3.51 ERA, 1.197 WHIP, 3.76 K/BB, 6.6 K/9, 1.8 BB/9
So his Ks went down last year, but so did his BBs. His BB/9 went from 2.7 in MIN in 2010 to 1.8 in 2011. As for the HR issue, in 6 years closing he's allowed 10 or more HRs twice (once last year and once in '09 with PIT). His career HR/9 is 1.1.
Is he going to own? No. But he surely will provide excellent value late in the draft. I see an easy line of:
65 IP, 30 SV, 3.50 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 50 K
And you can have that long after guys who have way less job security are gone. I'll take him every time.