Now that Shields has been named opening day starter for the Rays over Price, I thought I'd bring this up. So for Shields the innings have been there with 200+ IP the last 5 years, however until 2011 when he had his breakout year, he had an average ERA of well over 4. Also, because he threw a league high 11 complete games and 4 shutouts in 2011, his IP and strikeouts increased last year. So is this 2011 performance even remotely repeatable? I'm thinking something like 15-16 wins, 3.30 ERA, 205 SO, 220 IP, 4 CG 2 Shutouts. Realistic? Top 10 starter?
What should I expect from Shields this year and what should his draft value be?
Link to Shields' carrer stats - http://www.baseball-reference.com/playe