NikkiSixx wrote:I feel like Ted Lilly and Brandon McCarthy are as safe as it gets given their obnoxiously low prices. I especially dont understand the lack of respect Ted Lilly gets.
Agreed. Lilly is being ridiculously undervalued.
It has to be his age (36). He's just not a sexy pick anymore. If guys like this fall enough where the injury risk doesn't bite you then the likes of Lilly, Carpenter, Vazquez, etc have loads of value.
twistedude wrote:Like ayebatter, I'm also pretty pleased with how my "wait on pitching" strategy went in the 15 team cafeoholics masters league. I felt I got great values on all my SP's (the closers are a different story, but I was at the front end of a few major runs).
P - Ian Kennedy, ARI (7.2)
P - Ricky Romero, TOR (9.2)
P - Doug Fister, DET (13.2)
P - Justin Masterson, CLE (16.14)
P - Trevor Cahill, ARI (18.14)
P - Jose Valverde, DET (10.14)
P - Craig Kimbrel, ATL (6.14)
I have to say, it looks like you just drafted a bunch of SP coming off career years. In my opinion everyone on that list sans Cahill will be facing ERA corrections in 2012. Nearly all of them outperformed their FIP and xERA in 2011. This looks like a strong team if it was 2011. Unfortunately, gravity and regression are the two strongest forces known to man (Shandler).
I don't mean to come off as too critical. In a 15 team league this is not a bad staff by any means. I expect Kennedy to have a solid year. Romero, Fister and Masterson should face some ERA regression. Judging by the fact that you drafted your first SP in the 7th you probably have a really solid offense.