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Tommy John success rate?

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Tommy John success rate?

Postby TheGhost » Sat Feb 18, 2012 3:09 pm

Just wondering what starting pitchers have successfully come back from Tommy John surgery and performed at the same level or better then prior to surgery? Any notable cases where the pitcher never was the same?
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Re: Tommy John success rate?

Postby Ender » Sat Feb 18, 2012 3:38 pm

http://bleacherreport.com/articles/4446 ... -who-didnt

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/artic ... cleid=3486

While there is still a failure rate of 10 to 15 percent, most of these happen on younger subjects. It would be more accurate to say that the pitcher fails himself in most cases, rather than the surgery being the problem


Seems like it is a pretty safe bet for most guys to come back ok from the first one these days.
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Re: Tommy John success rate?

Postby Ender » Sat Feb 18, 2012 3:49 pm

Should have guessed you were thinking of Wainwright, I should have just posted links to horror stories so he would drop in our draft :).
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Re: Tommy John success rate?

Postby TheGhost » Sat Feb 18, 2012 4:23 pm

Ender wrote:Should have guessed you were thinking of Wainwright, I should have just posted links to horror stories so he would drop in our draft :).


Yeah, I'm a little concerned about tipping my hand but I do find the cafe useful. I sure hope Wainwright rebounds nicely! ;-D
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