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MaudDib wrote:MadDog36 wrote:I think I might take Nova here. Yes he is over-rated but he will still put up respectable numbers. I can't exactly say that about the other guys.
Urban Cohorts wrote:MaudDib wrote:MadDog36 wrote:I think I might take Nova here. Yes he is over-rated but he will still put up respectable numbers. I can't exactly say that about the other guys.
I think Nova will actually regress this year. He outperformed his base stats in 2011 IMO. Until the kid can strike people out, I don't foresee him as even a league average SP. The Yankees might get him some wins, but striking out 6.5 per 9 innings (which was his best ratio- occurred second half) doesn't do it for me.
Aybar may have had a career year, but he is much more valuable IMO. And Revere is a nice add in.
Urban Cohorts wrote:I just don't see Nova doing anything.. His age is a plus and the hitting behind him is a plus. But other than that, I really don't see any reason for optimism in any of his other stats. He is a ground ball pitcher with a tremendously aging infield (aside from Cano). Tex, Jeter, and ARod aren't going to get any better defensively. Nova only has 3 pitches, none of which I would consider better than league average. He was lucky last year in that he got away without giving up any HR's with runners on base. And his opponents hit% was low.
I wouldn't classify Aybar as barely ownable. We don't know how many teams are in the league, but he makes my top 12. I agree that the power is going to come down, but I think his AVG is legit. His contact rate increased in the second half, his patience grew a tad in the 2nd half, and now he has Pujols hitting behind him. I think a boost in runs is coming. And he had his best year yet as far as SB success rate and SB opportunities went, so I see the 30 being repeatable (with some upside if his patience holds). He is very consistent (aside from the 2011 HR spike, and the 2010 hit% induced low AVG- good and bad luck), which is a rarity among SS. Revere is a nice throw in. Good speed. And like most prospects, if he gains some patience his stats will go up (especially the SB).
I guess I just don't value Nova that much. I'd rather grab a Masterson type than someone whose upside is Masterson IMO.
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