Urban Cohorts wrote:I don't think Miggy qualifying at 3B raises his value as much as people think. At least for redraft leagues.
You figure that Miggy was a top 1-2 pick before having 3B eligibility. Assuming he is taken as the #1-2 guy, there is very little chance that a remaining top tier 1B (Pujols, Votto, Gonzo, Fielder and Tex) makes it back to you for round 2 in a redraft. And after Tex, the next best available 1B are the likes of Butler, Morse, Konerko, Hosmer- guys who are not 2nd or 3rd round picks.
A much more likely scenario is that after drafting Miggy, one of the better 3B is still available for Round 2- Wright, Zimmerman, Beltre, or Sandoval.
Miggy qualifying at 3B certainly helps for in season management, but I think he'll be the starting 1B on more fantasy squads than 3B, as 1B has a much more dramatic drop off after the elite.
For standard 12 team, redraft leagues that is.
I also wouldn't draft him banking on the fact that he will get 3B eligibility as you won't know how quickly he will get it. If Cabrera is playing everyday at 3B that is one thing but at the most it seems like something that he might get two starts a week at. If he averages two starts a week, it will take practically two months for him to help your team at the hot corner or about 1/3 of the season. Add in that if he is bad at 3B (which I see no reason he won't be bad or very bad) then they could scrap the plan.
So I don't think this should change anything in draft strategy. Maybe he gets a few more RBI's or Runs or maybe he gets walked a lot which should help his BA but I don't think any of this is enough to change his status.