bayside wrote:wow i just reread everything you wrote and it makes even less sense now.
It makes less sense only to you.
for example you said:
Syfo-Dyas wrote:If Cain is smart he learns from others mistakes.
and by doing so you were implying that Pujols made some huge mistake by signing an extension with the Cards for less than market value.
I wasn't implying anything. I said that. He made a mistake.
bayside wrote:then i simply pointed out WHY it turned out to NOT be a mistake.
Yah, wrong argument, cos you don't know what would've happened if he'd signed with the Yankees or Red Sox etc...
And you forgot to point out, that whitout Pujols the Cardinals probably would have not won any championships.
So his signing for a lot less than market value didn't turn out to be a HUGE mistake, but a mistake nevertheless.
But heres an example for you to understand:
Teixeria signs for a lot less than market value with the Orioles for sentimental reasons (born in Annapolis, MD), and does not win any championship.
Teixeria signs for maximum value with the Yankees and does win a championship.
Which one is a mistake?
bayside wrote:then somehow you went off an a 2 page long rant about some "accident" and Zito vs Alfonso Soriano (really wtf is that?) and arguing about other various points that i never even made.
Some ''accident"? You obviously didn't watch any of the games in 2006. Detroit basically gave them the title.
And what were the odds of the Cardinals winning the WS this year, before the season started?
Odds at the AS break:http://www.baseballprospectus.com/artic ... leid=14516
They were given 3.7% chance to reach the WS.
Even at the start of the playoffs they were ranked 7 of 8 by bookmakers.
And even after they reached the WS their odds was 20 to 1.
They won two championships, but nobody knows how, cos they shouldnt have.
Thats what I call "by accident".
I brought up Soriano as an example, that the team could have spent that money equally badly on someone else.
But obviously you fail to see the wide range of probabilities beyond the facts.
Oh, and I couldn't find any 2 page long rant. What you smokin?