GiantsFan14 wrote:they're just wasting one of the best pitching staffs in baseball, and I wouldn't be surprised at all if cain and lincecum both walk when they become free agents rather than play for a team that can't score them runs.
while i was initially pissed that the Giants didnt sign Beltan, or any other impact FA bat , i actually think that it will work out better for them over the next 5-6 years *IF* they lock up at least 2 of the following guys to extensions before the end of the 2012 season,
If winning the most games possible over the next 5 years is the goal, (as opposed to going crazy for 1 "all-in" season and returning to mediocrity for several years immediately after due to bad contracts + payroll constraints) then i would prioritize the Giants spending as follows:
(this is pretty much a copy/paste form a post i made on another blog, so you might've seen it already)
1. long term deal for Bumgarner. see Rays. the more FA tteam option years the better
2. extend/resign Cain
3. extend Timmy
4. long term deal for Posey.
5. only then sign any FA bat that costs >$10mil/yr
I think Bumgarner is the most valuable asset on the team at this point, and if they can buy out his Arb years + 1 or 2 FA years for anything remotely close to the Matt Moore deal it would go a long way towards saving a ton of money in the future for FA’s.
Not to mention lock up one of the very young pitchers in the game. It would not surprise me if he becomes one of the top 10 pitchers in baseball, and is outperforming both Cain and Lincecum by the time he is scheduled to hit FA.
You can argue that Posey is more valuable and should be priority #1, but until he proves hes 100% healthy, and is going to be a full time catcher long term, then I would rate him a little lower.
Timmy is obviously the face of the franchise, and from a marketing perspective i can see resinging him being priority #1. But from a winning perspective, getting Bum/Posey to agree to team friendly deals is much more valuable to the success of the club.
Only after those guys are locked up (or after they are at least offered deals and decline) would I try to sign any big name FA’s. The only exception I would make would be if Cain or Lincecum explicitly demand offensive support, threatening to otherwise leave… but really, does that ever happen?
I didnt include Sandoval on the list because I think 1) of the young Giants stars hes the most likely to regress (perhaps permanently) due to fitness issues , and 2) just listening to all his interviews over the last couple years and hearing about his background and some of the off field stuff hes gone through, I get the feeling he is the most likely of the to remain a Giant even if he hits FA. He just seems to genuinely love the atmosphere and I can see him staying in SF for a long long time, assuming he stays healthy/productive.
also i feel like the Giants pitchers leaving due to poor offense is a little over blown. i mean they proved just a year ago that with even a below average offense they can win a championship if the pitching stays together. now if ownership starts to actually CUT payroll, i can definitely see them walking.