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Billy_Ripken wrote:The last keeper comes down to Clayton Kershaw, who would cost me my 3.12 pick, or Adam Wainwright, who would cost me my 18.1 pick.
Billy_Ripken wrote:forecasting a guy like Greinke/Price/Lester/Haren will be around to grab at 3.12 since none of them outperformed their draft position by more than 2 rounds last year, plus some other benefits.....
MaudDib wrote:I am actually surprised everyone is picking Kershaw. I am a huge fan of Kershaw and I think he is a top 5 SP for the next 5-8 years BUT Wainwright is a top 5 SP as well. People seem to forget just how good he was before the surgery. Wainwright had two seasons with ERA's under 3, K's over 200 and over 19 wins. That is an Ace and then add in that you can keep him for 2 years at a bargain price.
I realize that Wainwright had TJ surgery, so there is risk that he will have some problems but he was trying to get the Cardinals to let him pitch in the post-season which means he should have all winter to build his stamina. One thing I have heard "experts" say about TJ recovery, is too look at the team and their past success which the Cardinals have done very well with. Jamie Garcia and Chris Carpenter were both players they helped through the process and both came back at pretty much full strength the very next season. So I wouldn't be that worried how Wainwright will be next year.
By not keeping Kershaw, you will have all of your picks for the first 10 rounds. I would imagine most of the big name players will be eligible which means you could draft Kershaw with a 1st, 2nd and maybe even a 3rd round pick depending on who is available.
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