SpecialFNK wrote:I don't think the Jays really planned on having Jayson Nix as a starter going into the 2011 season. he is someone who could have been a decent bat off the bench and play multiple positions. (maybe the plan was after acquiring Lawrie that he would play 3B in the minors and come up when ready?)
The original plan was to use Bautista at 3B to begin the season. They eventually decided to go back on this plan, moved Bautista back to RF, and stuck Nix there about halfway through ST. Lawrie was supposed to come up in the middle of June to replace Nix (he was kept down likely for his development and to push back his clock), but that became August due to his injury.
Nix was someone who had decent numbers in the minors when he played regularly in the Rockies minor leagues. it was worth giving him an extended look. even after going down to Jays AAA team he put up decent numbers.
http://www.thebaseballcube.com/players/ ... -nix.shtml
There was absolutely no reason to expect Nix would hit well enough at the MLB level to deserve a starting job. At best, he's a utility player. And of course he put up decent numbers in AAA, he was playing in the PCL. Everybody does.
I intentionally didn't use OPS on Davis because he's not that type of player. it's not his job to SLG. it's his job to get on base so OBP is better to use on someone like him. he can get on base and then has the speed to steal.
If it's his job to get on base, he's consistently done a poor job at it. He's got a career .319 OBP...that's below average.
.320 OBP in 2010 is decent enough, and .360 OBP in 2009 is good. it was worth giving him an extended look to see if he could get back to that level of producing.
If you're a cheap team like the 2011 Jays with no better option in CF than Rajai Davis, then sure it is. But teams with actual aspirations and teams that care about contending don't give players like him starting jobs. He's not nearly good enough.
someone like Elvis Andrus only had .703 OPS in 2011. guess he sucks. but he had .347 OBP with 37 SB and 96 R.
Andrus is an incredible defensive SS, Davis is a poor defensive outfielder. They aren't comparable whatsoever.
.721 OPS isn't bad. it's good enough when you want to see if that player can return to the numbers he had the previous season. even counting last season he has .776 career OPS. he's not good but he's good enough for a bottom of the order hitter. when you're a team that doesn't want to spend a lot money, it's players like these you have to take a chance on. you roll the dice hoping for something good.
Juan Rivera wasn't given a spot because the Jays thought he would be a good hitter for them. He was given a spot because they were paying him $6M a season and no other team was willing to take on that contract. He acted as a stopgap "solution" before Thames showed up and they eventually got rid of him after a few months of poor performance.
Hill had disappointing numbers across the board no doubt in 2010. you could also give fault to the Jays coaching staff. Aaron Hill should have never been hitting that many HR. it looks like he tried to hard to hit HR and that effected his other numbers. he had 41.0 FB% in 2009 and that jumped to 54.2 FB% in 2010 (way more than earlier in his career) with 10.6 LD%. he was hitting way to many fly balls instead of driving the ball. I would think someone like a hitting instructor should have been on his ass to have him stop hitting so many fly balls.
At this point, it doesn't matter why Aaron Hill stopped hitting to me (his plate approach went to absolute **** over the past few years, that much was obvious). It only matters that he did. Nobody that watched him flail away in 2010 was surprised at his performance in 2011.
baseball isn't just about numbers. you're dealing with real people, with real feelings and emotions. someone like Thames. he wasn't good against LHP in 2011, so lets say you tell him right from the start he wont be facing any LHP. that could upset him and effect him in a negative way even against RHP. you also can't take players who have had past success and after a couple weeks of "sucking" just bench then completely. even if one is struggling you can give them an extended time period to try and turn things around. especially on a team that doesn't spend big money or have much better replacements.
If you're a team in a contending year, you'll deal with Thames (and other players like him) a lot differently than if you're a team in a developmental year. Winning games was not a primary motivation for the 2011 Jays and that completely changed the way the team managed its roster. If winning games is a primary motivation next season, I'd expect such young players to get a much shorter rope before being platooned/sent down.