bayside wrote:They had similar GB% in 2011 but Cuetos was a career best, and way way above his norm.
This is a good point.
IF Cueto can sustain this GB rate and keep improving his K rate (like he did in the second half), he does hold more upside than Garcia IMO. And Garcia did have a not-so-great second half (which I attribute to getting tired), with a worsening K and BB rate. However, Garcia did have an unusually high BABIP and low LOB%, whereas Cueto had a lucky BABIP and an average LOB%. Cueto also pitches in a hitters park, which doesn't help his case.
All that said, I think Garcia is the safe bet and Cueto is the wild card. Could be better, but odds are he won't (at least for 2012).