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lane_anasazi2 wrote:That's a really tough question. They are both excellent young pitchers. I would say Gio, though, for one reason: age. He's 25. If you're only talking about the next 3 years and not indefinitely, then you're getting Gio's age 26-27-28 seasons, which, on average, are a baseball player's prime years. (Although with pitchers it can be later). Bumgarner is 22 and while he's had a remarkably successful season, in my opinion there are going to be some bumps in the road in the next few years.
Granted there are guys - Kershaw, Lincecum, who come up and just dominate. Maybe Bumgarner will only get better from here. I'm basing a lot of this on the theory that Gonzalez will continue to improve his BB/9. Maybe he won't. This isn't an exact science.
The age thing is one reason, but there's a lot of stuff to look at. Bumgarner pitches in the best division in baseball to pitch in. That's gotta be worth something.
In situations like this, I like to trust my gut. What does your gut tell you?
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