rjforlife wrote:I'm sorry, but saying Greinke could make a case for top 3-5 is ludicrous. I understand he has been unlucky, but that doesn't magically change into an immediate top 5 SP. The K rate has been good but there is nothing else to fall back on besides sabermetrics. The fact is that the last 2 season the stats are not there, and you cannot justify a consideration for top 3-5. Greinke MAYBE slips into the top 10 if he turns around his "luck", but there are simply too many great pitchers right now to put a guy in the ranks who's numbers aren't even close to the guys above him.
Why did you put quotations around luck? He's having one of the unluckiest seasons I can possibly think of. Career high in K/9, his FIPs are almost half of what his ERA is and his LOB% is somewhere around 56 or 57% if I recall correctly. If he even approached his FIP numbers he'd easily be a top-10 pitcher. He'll be one of the best values off the board next year.