1. Albert Pujols--Depends how he comes back from his injury, and how he performs in the 2nd half. If he wouldn't have came back so quick, he wouldn't be here but I think many people will play it safe if they have the #1 pick and draft him. I personally never draft Pujols when I have the first pick. I look more at position scarcity and there are just too many good 1B to blow your 1st on one.
2. Matt Kemp--No question this guy is going to be here, and will go #1 overall in many drafts as well. He is going to put up a 40+/40+ season and is going to be highly coveted next year. While he is my favorite player in the game, he is probably going to be a bit overvalued since he won't repeat a 40/40 season. But will be a sure lock for 30/30, so you just have to keep those expectations in check if you draft him.
3. Troy Tulowitzki--If I'm picking anywhere in the top 3, this is my pick. SS has horrible depth, and with Hanley falling off the map, and looking like no better than a 25/25 player, Tulo's value as the #1 SS widens from the pack. He's notorious for having 2nd half surges, and he's already at 44-17-57-6. I think we are going to see a 40/110/15 season out of Tulo when the season is complete. AND I believe he can repeat those numbers next year. I'm all in on him.
4. Ryan Braun--If it weren't for Matt Kemp's amazing year, we would be talking more about Braun who is already at 57-16-62-19-.320. Not much else to say here, Braun's HR were down last year, but he is as steady as they come. He is probably the safest pick out of these top 4 players (Yes, safer than Pujols).
5. Jose Bautista--I still don't like/trust Bautista. I don't have a reason for it, but I just don't. However, with 3B eligibility next year and he is repeating his breakout year, this is where he will likely get drafted. I won't touch him here.
6. Adrian Gonzalez--Another guy I don't like at this pick, but this is where he'll go because he's a Sox. Lookin like the every bit of the player the Red Sox paid him to be (opposite of Crawford), but again, I don't like going with a 1B in the 1st and there really isn't much difference between him and Teixeira (who has 8 more HR right now) who you can get in the early 2nd.
7. Robinson Cano--On pace for a 100-30-100-10-.300 year. At 2nd base, yes please. The steals are a pleasant surprise, and if he reaches double digits, I think his value will get a nice boost. If the top 4 players on this list go in that order, Cano is my 5th pick.
8. Hanley Ramirez--I still like Ramirez because I covet 5 tool players, especially at shallow positions, but it's clear the shine has diminished from this star. He has basically been in a decline every since his near 30-50 season. Because the fish fear injuries with him, he's not a 50 SB player anymore. I'm not even sure he's a 30 SB player anymore. The best I think you can hope for from him is a 25/25 season, which is still elite, but not worth the #2 pick as he has been the past few years.
9. Evan Longoria--This is more of a speculative pick right now than what his actual number indicate. He's been hurt, but I think he's going to have a strong 2nd half and show us that he is capable of being an annual 30/20 3rd baseman, and I think he is capable of better than that. If he slips to the 2nd round next year, he will be on every one of my teams.
10. Carlos Gonzalez--I will admit I was one of the people that believed he was going too high. I liked his power and speed combo, but I wanted to see him repeat his dominance before I bought in 1st round value for him. I am a believer. You can argue that he is an outstanding value at this pick because he is capable of putting up the same or better numbers than Kemp/Braun who are top 4 picks.
11. Prince Fielder--His value could depend on where he lands. I haven't looked at his interleague numbers to see how successful he is off AL pitchers, but if he goes to a team like the Yankees as a DH (very plausible) his value will soar. On pace for 40/135. He is a MUCH better value here than A-Gon at 6.
12. Miguel Cabrera--This pick is really a toss up. There are a handful of players that you can make a case for that belong in this spot, but with Miggy's consistency, he belongs here. But he certainly isn't a top 5 player, like many were drafting him last year. Again, the difference between A-gon, fielder, miggy, teix, howard, votto is very slim. Even Adam Lind (if he finished 30/100 .300) isn't that far off from these guys, and you'll be able to get him much later.
Second Round (in no particular order):
Ian Kinsler (yes, I like him here. Could slip to the 3rd, but I like him to finish with 25/30, or 30/30 if he has a dominant power month)